Saturday, 5 April 2008

Bet 67: £100 CARLISLE to beat Yeovil @ 8/13

I was going to go for Northwich today, but a brand new goalie for the home team, and the fact that I was slow out of the blocks getting a good price, means I'm going to pass. I'm going back to Carlisle, who have an incredible home record and are challenging for automatic promotion.

Whilst Carlisle tasted defeat in their last game midweek week against Nottingham Forest, they were very unlucky; hitting the post twice, dominating the game and then seeing Forest score twice on the counter. With a full strength team to choose from, I can't see Carlisle slipping up again.

Got a great price of 1.64 with Betfair (now only available at 1.61), which works out for around 8/13 after commission. The best anyone else could do was 4/7.

Running balance: £1,840.72

Post script: There's an old footballing cliche that over the course of the season, luck will even itself out. Well, I've had it even out over the course of 3 days. On Thursday, Exeter virtually camped inside Droylsden's penalty area without success. And today, I have to admit, I got very lucky, when Carlisle came from behind to beat Yeovil 2-1 with a 91st minute winner.

That's 2 games now I've won through a lasp gasp winner (the other being Bet 44 back in early Feb).

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