Tuesday, 8 April 2008

Bet 70: £100 FARSLEY CELTIC to beat Droylsden @ 4/6

Celtic have just pulled away from the relegation zone following a superb away win at Torquay. They will want to consolidate this tonight against the league's bottom team who are winless away from home, before taking on more challenging fixtures later this month.

My only worry with this bet is that the 1.55 price on Betfair yesterday, was available at 1.7 this evening (which is the price I took). Does someone know something I don't?

Running balance: £1,797.98

Post script: Sadly, greed seems to have got the better of me yesterday. I was happy just to play the Chelsea game, which on its own would have put me back into profit. But no, I saw the price move on the Farsley game and jumped into that one as well. The Betfair "brain" is seldom wrong, and its seems the price move was a very good indicator that Farsley weren't as much of a cert as I had originally thought.

The game itself was very even, and indeed the price I took wasn't representing good value at all, hopefully a lesson learnt.

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