This bet replaces the original Bet 74, which was postponed yesterday. I will do a review of yesterday's disaster a bit later, when I have a bit more time.
Today's bet has gone with William Hill, and I fully expect a well rested Utd to blow away a spent Arsenal team.
Sunday, 13 April 2008
Friday, 11 April 2008
Bet 76: £100 SOUTHEND to beat Northampton @ 3/4
Final Saturday selection see me take on Southend, who have really been motoring in the last few months. They will be at full strength and are great value to beat a Northampton team who are just too far off to think about the play-offs. Gone with Sporting Bet for this bet, one of five bookies whom I remain unbeaten with.
So five games in all tomorrow, depending on who wins, I may need 4 for a profit, I may need 3. Should be an exciting Soccer Saturday!!
So five games in all tomorrow, depending on who wins, I may need 4 for a profit, I may need 3. Should be an exciting Soccer Saturday!!
Bet 75: £100 CAMBRIDGE UTD to beat Stafford @ 2/7
Added to my existing 3 selections for Saturday with what I consider an extremely probable home win in the Blue Square Premier. Cambridge are currently in the play-off positions and face a Stafford team already relegated.
Despite my recent defeat using Skybet for the unsuccessful Bet 66, I'm going back for some more of the same to try and get some redemption.
Despite my recent defeat using Skybet for the unsuccessful Bet 66, I'm going back for some more of the same to try and get some redemption.
Thursday, 10 April 2008
Bet 74: £100 AIRDRIE to beat Cowdenbeath @ 8/13
Another strange price here, Airdrie are very strong at the moment, having just turned over newly crowned champions Ross County in mid-week. Cowdenbeath are second from bottom and have never beaten Airdrie before.
Bet 365 also had the best odds for this game, 8/13, I expect that to come in before kick-off.
Bet 365 also had the best odds for this game, 8/13, I expect that to come in before kick-off.
Bet 73: £100 CRYSTAL PALACE to beat Scunthorpe @ 8/13
Palace hang onto the last play-off place by the skin of their teeth, but they impressed me a lot in their 2-1 away win at Stoke on Monday. Scunthorpe are all but relegated after starting the season with just promise.
8/13 was available at Bet 365 and I've gone with this outfit for the first time in this blog.
8/13 was available at Bet 365 and I've gone with this outfit for the first time in this blog.
Bet 72: £100 HULL CITY to beat QPR at 4/5
First of three bets for Saturday I've put on early to ensure I get the best prices. I will 2 out of the 3 to come in to make a small profit, but I'm very confident on each of them coming in.
Hull City have been on fire in the Championship in the last couple of months, especially at home, where they have beaten Watford and Southampton by a combined score of 8-0 in their last two games at the KC. QPR, whilst improved in the last few months, should be outgunned here.
Got 4/5 with William Hill for this one.
Hull City have been on fire in the Championship in the last couple of months, especially at home, where they have beaten Watford and Southampton by a combined score of 8-0 in their last two games at the KC. QPR, whilst improved in the last few months, should be outgunned here.
Got 4/5 with William Hill for this one.
Wednesday, 9 April 2008
Other betting blog developments
Its sad to have to report that a couple of my favourite blogs seem to have taken noticeable set backs in the last week or so.
The Gambler lost a large and unspecified amount on the US horses (I can't understand why anyone touches these personally, but the Gambler always seemed to do OK at it prior to this latest disaster) and has packed in the whole gambling business. In its place, he has decided to write his memoirs, which are very readable. I would recommend you take a look. He seems to have gone back with gambling as of last night, you can never keep a good man down.
The Betfair Loser also seems to have lost a packet and has taken a break. Despite the name, the Betfair Loser seemed to do quite well, I guess any gambler is only a few bad breaks away from ruin. I do hope that I can use the blogging forum to ensure that I try to keep a level head, its never nice to write about the bad times, although I find its a good way to learn quickly.
The Gambler lost a large and unspecified amount on the US horses (I can't understand why anyone touches these personally, but the Gambler always seemed to do OK at it prior to this latest disaster) and has packed in the whole gambling business. In its place, he has decided to write his memoirs, which are very readable. I would recommend you take a look. He seems to have gone back with gambling as of last night, you can never keep a good man down.
The Betfair Loser also seems to have lost a packet and has taken a break. Despite the name, the Betfair Loser seemed to do quite well, I guess any gambler is only a few bad breaks away from ruin. I do hope that I can use the blogging forum to ensure that I try to keep a level head, its never nice to write about the bad times, although I find its a good way to learn quickly.
Bet 71: £100 STOCKPORT to beat Mansfield @ 4/6
Stockport have been on fire in League 2 and are now only 3 points off an automatic promotion spot. With back to back games against MK Dons and Peterbrough, they will want to secure as many points as possible in the last few games to avoid a repeat of last season, where they missed out on a play-off spot on the last game.
Picked up a price of 1.69 on Betfair, since when it has come into 1.65. That's the sort of price move I'm comfortable with.
Running balance: £1,863.53
Post script: Well at 0-1 in the first half, I got a distinct sense of deja vu (is that how you spell that?) from the Farsley game last night, especially when Stockport levelled fairly quickly. One thing which flashed through my head at this point was that a defeat here would have left me in a very similar position to where I was after Suicidal Sunday back in February. Strangely enough this thought filled me with a biziarre sense of confidence. "I've been down and out before and got out of it, and I'm bloody well going to get out of it this month!"
In the end it was Stockport who got the winner, and as a result, I'm now only down £16 instead of the £180 abyss I was staring down. However I've been pissing up my £100 internet fund up the wall, so I'm really closer to a ton down to date. Let's hope for some more inspired selections at the weekend.
Picked up a price of 1.69 on Betfair, since when it has come into 1.65. That's the sort of price move I'm comfortable with.
Running balance: £1,863.53
Post script: Well at 0-1 in the first half, I got a distinct sense of deja vu (is that how you spell that?) from the Farsley game last night, especially when Stockport levelled fairly quickly. One thing which flashed through my head at this point was that a defeat here would have left me in a very similar position to where I was after Suicidal Sunday back in February. Strangely enough this thought filled me with a biziarre sense of confidence. "I've been down and out before and got out of it, and I'm bloody well going to get out of it this month!"
In the end it was Stockport who got the winner, and as a result, I'm now only down £16 instead of the £180 abyss I was staring down. However I've been pissing up my £100 internet fund up the wall, so I'm really closer to a ton down to date. Let's hope for some more inspired selections at the weekend.
Tuesday, 8 April 2008
Bet 70: £100 FARSLEY CELTIC to beat Droylsden @ 4/6
Celtic have just pulled away from the relegation zone following a superb away win at Torquay. They will want to consolidate this tonight against the league's bottom team who are winless away from home, before taking on more challenging fixtures later this month.
My only worry with this bet is that the 1.55 price on Betfair yesterday, was available at 1.7 this evening (which is the price I took). Does someone know something I don't?
Running balance: £1,797.98
Post script: Sadly, greed seems to have got the better of me yesterday. I was happy just to play the Chelsea game, which on its own would have put me back into profit. But no, I saw the price move on the Farsley game and jumped into that one as well. The Betfair "brain" is seldom wrong, and its seems the price move was a very good indicator that Farsley weren't as much of a cert as I had originally thought.
The game itself was very even, and indeed the price I took wasn't representing good value at all, hopefully a lesson learnt.
My only worry with this bet is that the 1.55 price on Betfair yesterday, was available at 1.7 this evening (which is the price I took). Does someone know something I don't?
Running balance: £1,797.98
Post script: Sadly, greed seems to have got the better of me yesterday. I was happy just to play the Chelsea game, which on its own would have put me back into profit. But no, I saw the price move on the Farsley game and jumped into that one as well. The Betfair "brain" is seldom wrong, and its seems the price move was a very good indicator that Farsley weren't as much of a cert as I had originally thought.
The game itself was very even, and indeed the price I took wasn't representing good value at all, hopefully a lesson learnt.
Bet 69: £100 CHELSEA to beat Fenerbahce @ 3/10
Have to admit that I fancied about 6 bets tonight, with Chelsea, Southend, MK Dons, Morecambe, Stockport and Farsley Celtic all looking good. Gone for two in the end, Chelski should have the fire power to blow away a Fenerbahce team who are very strong at home but struggle on their travels.
Plus I'm sure there will be a Chelsea v Liverpool Mk III in the CL Semi's. Got 1.32 with Betfair for the Blues, which will return a touch over £30 after commission.
Plus I'm sure there will be a Chelsea v Liverpool Mk III in the CL Semi's. Got 1.32 with Betfair for the Blues, which will return a touch over £30 after commission.
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